Browse Month

October 2010

Storm Chasers Season 4 Premiere Tonight!

Season four of the hit Discovery Channel series Storm Chasers will premiere tonight at 10pm ET/PT on The Discovery Channel. Just before it airs, an all new Mythbusters will feature storm chasing myths as The Dominator (the TVN vehicle) and the TIV (Sean Casey’s vehicle) go mano-a-mano in a wind resistance test.

This series is going to be epic considering the awesome amount of strong and photogenic tornadoes there were this year. We’ll be in for a real treat as we follow along the 2010 storm chasing season!

http://dsc.discovery.com/tv/storm-chasers/

What to Watch Fore(cast) – Oct 11-17

Endless sleep on Sunday and storm chasing Monday = A late What to Watch Fore(cast). I’ll be sure to make it up with many, many pictures. Hopefully some will be awesome. Also, I’ll badger Jason until he puts some of his pictures up here.

Highlights:

Another coastal storm in the East – A low pressure system will hang off the East Coast during the second half of the work week, keeping conditions somewhat cool and cloudy.

Work-week heat in the West – A ridge of high pressure will bring above normal temperatures to most of the West Tuesday through Friday.

Rain in the Southeast – A weakening system will bring isolated showers and thunderstorms into the Southeast Tuesday through early Thursday.

What’s Hurricane Paula doing? – Paula will likely stay in the Caribbean through the work week, and there is a low chance that it could make a break for the South Florida Coast before a front pulls it to the east later on.

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Discussion:

An upper level trough will dig into the Mid-Atlantic around Wednesday and stall just off the East Coast, allowing for coastal development that could linger in the northern Mid-Atlantic and Northeast through the first half of the weekend. Underneath and behind it, cloudy conditions and northwesterly winds will keep things rather cool in the East.

An area of high pressure will be building into the West through mid-week before weakening and shifting eastwards towards the end of the work week. By Sunday, this ridge will work into the Southern Plains and Southeast, bringing northerly winds and below normal temperatures into the Midwest and Southeast at the start of next week.

Before the ridge can move into the Southeast, a stubborn cut-off low over the South will slowly work its way over the Southeast before weakening and getting pushed out by a cold front which will push through the Southeast on Thursday. There won’t be much precipitation with this system, but the drought-stricken Southeast could use every drop they can get.

Hurricane (microcane?) Paula is holding in the Western Caribbean as it gains category 2 status. This slow-moving tropical system will get scooped up by the cold front that’s passing through the Southeast and should lift out into the Atlantic early next week. There is little chance that the eye will make U.S. landfall, but Southern Florida will be monitored for a potential landfall.

Mid-Atlantic Discussion – October 11-12

Nice thing about today are the LL and ML lapse rates over the region, which could keep strong storms sustained for a long period of time once they develop. Shear is decent, but mostly unidirectional flow will favor some bowing segments. Cells should be relatively isolated today due to the limited moisture available. Taking a look at the SPC, I agree with it for the most part, but they could bring down the wind threat to areas S of the MA/PA border. TOR threat probably isn’t there… might get one TOR warning in PA today. I’m sure SPC is just playing it safe today give the potential for the strong winds and bowing segments to evolve a bit.

Hurricane Otto: Past, present and future

Hurricane Otto continues to churn in the Atlantic despite his humble beginnings as a subtropical depression when he formed just north of Puerto Rico two days ago. Otto is currently moving northeast as it picks up steam and jets towards Europe. The Azores may be at risk for hurricane force winds from Otto, but the current forecast is north of the islands, so the Azores should be able to avoid the worst of it.

So Otto will just be another storm that’s rather unexciting for the U.S., taking name #15 as we look towards the Caribbean for a possible Paula in the near future. The season’s rapidly winding down for us, and it looks like we’ll have to wait for next year to try get an East Coast landfalling system.