Darn it, forgot to post an update on Friday about the storm… at least I get a second chance this week!
Another chilly start in the East – Tonight and tomorrow night will be quite chilly in the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic and Southeast as temperatures 20 degrees below normal and windy conditions put lows in the danger zone for many, including freezing temperatures into southern Florida!
Soggy in the West – Several systems will batter the West Coast from the Pacific Northwest down to central California this week.
Brief Thu/Fri disturbance in the East – Another weak system with wintry precipitation will move through the southern Mid-Atlantic and Southeast during the second half of the work week.
Potential snowstorm early next week – Models continue to hint at a potential East Coast snow storm around next Sunday and Monday, which could be the first big snow event of the season for many along the I-95 corridor.
Record-setting cold will be in place in the Southeast over the next two nights, with plenty to worry about as temperatures drop below the freezing mark all the way down into southern Florida. The whole eastern half of the U.S. will be feeling the chill, with near-zero lows in the Midwest, lows in the teens and wind chills near zero in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast, and the risk for a central/southern Florida frost tomorrow night.
A weak disturbance will move into the eastern half of the nation Thursday and Friday, which will bring a quick shot of light rain and wintry precipitation into the southern Midwest, Mid-Atlantic and northern Southeast. The northern edge of the precip. could scoot just south of D.C., which would be insult to injury from last week’s system that performed a similar trick.
The subtropical ridge that has been providing the Southwest with warm and dry conditions will begin to break down near the West Coast this week as a series of disturbances relentlessly pound the West Coast with precipitation. These storms will track as far south as central California, bringing some needed rains into the area. Unfortunately, it looks like the ridge will hold on enough to keep the Desert Southwest from seeing most of the action. The Desert SW could get some rain Thu/Fri, but it will only be a small relief in an otherwise dry forecast.
The big event that’s still in the running for next Sunday and into Monday is a possible coastal system along the East Coast, which could bring snowfall from the Carolinas up through New England. While confidence in a snowstorm event, especially one that hits the coastal areas with significant snow, isn’t terribly high, models have hinted at such a system for a number of days now, including a direct hit via the latest American model (the 18Z GFS). For more in-depth discussion on its impact on the Mid-Atlantic region, see the last two paragraphs from yesterday’s Mid-Atlantic Week Ahead forecast. I’m being rather optimistic for snow at this point, though, with other forecasters being a lot more critical (and likely more realistic) with this system’s potential. The next few days will be pretty interesting in the world of weather model watching (and yes, such a world does exist for those of you who haven’t been to the American Weather Forums yet).
Post Discussion: Let’s not forget about the lake-effect this week, either! More in store for areas already hit hard by last week. Couldn’t fit it into this week’s highlights!