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March 2011

Tornadoes confirmed in northern VA from Thursday’s storms

Two tornado warnings with to confirmed tornadoes… one EF-0 and one EF-1, occurred last Thursday as a line of thunderstorms moved through central Virginia. Jason was out to document the flooding, but he found himself going after the tornado-warned storms as daylight faded. In the end, he got close, but he did not end up seeing a tornado.

The report: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/lwx/events/20110310tor.php

The description:

…TORNADOES CONFIRMED IN BEALETON VIRGINIA AND CHANTILLY VIRGINIA…

LOCATION…BEALETON IN FAUQUIER COUNTY VIRGINIA
DATE…MARCH 10 2011
ESTIMATED TIME…617 PM TO 620 PM EST
MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING…EF1
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED…90 MPH
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH…75 YARDS
PATH LENGTH…4 MILES
BEGINNING LAT/LON…38.5750N / 77.7605W
ENDING LAT/LON…38.6189N / 77.7013W
* FATALITIES…NONE
* INJURIES…NONE
* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT
TO CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND
PUBLICATION IN NWS STORM DATA.

 

What to Watch Fore(cast) – Mar 7-14

Just the highlights for now… I’ve been working on getting a new place to live, which is why the blog has slowed somewhat recently.

Highlights

Another soaker in the East – A storm system that is shaping up to be quite similar to the Sunday/Monday storm we just had will be moving through the eastern parts of the country Wednesday into Thursday.

Plenty of rain/snow in the Great Lakes – After the Wednesday system, another system will move in from the west for another shot of rain and snow Friday into Saturday.

Severe storms in the Southeast – A round of severe weather is expected Tuesday night and Wednesday in the Southeast.

Late severe in the Plains – A low pressure system will develop over the Central Plains Sunday and Monday, which will bring the risk for severe weather to Tornado Alley at the beginning of next week.

Mid-Atlantic – The Week Ahead (Mar 6-13)

It’s raining. Most of the area should have about 1.0-1.5 inches of rain before the storm moves off to the north and east tonight. It has already changed over to snow in the Appalachians, and it may switch over to snow briefly in the DC area.

Monday and Tuesday will be a bit drier as temps hold near seasonal levels, if not slightly below. The rain will come again Wednesday night into Thursday as another generous amount falls over the region. Right now it looks like most will see another 0.5-1.0″ of rain mid-week. Like the current storm, this system will likely drop some snow on the mountains on the back edge.

The forecast starts to get tricky again as we head into the weekend. A secondary low could keep the mid-week systems close to the coast on Friday and Saturday as another system moves in from the Great Lakes region. The most likely situation for Friday and Saturday is mostly cloudy skies with rain showers possible. Drier conditions are forecast for most of the region on Sunday, with a chance of rain and snow showers in the western Apps.

Is it May yet? I have a feeling that March will continue to be miserable for most of the region this year. April could be hit or miss.

Chase Log – 28 Feb 2011

Jason and I took a long trip down to eastern NC, which proved quite bust-worthy in terms of severe weather. We did experience a nice gust front, which involved areas of zero or near-zero visibility as dust and leaves washed over the back roads… definitely a couple of “hit the brakes!” driving moments in those. I was hoping something could happen in northeast NC where some surface instability was holding during the late afternoon, but the gust front took away the surface instability, and while moderate rain showers developed, nothing explosive/sustainable was able to get going in our area. Had to call off the chase to get back home, otherwise we would have gone into southeast NC and seen some strong thunderstorms. Ended up around Rt. 264 and took that back to I-95 to home.

While it was a bust, I still had a good time. Lots of driving (some of it rather fun on the back roads), got the first chase of the year out of the way to kind of get back into the routine, and had at least some interesting weather.

Because of this, there won’t be a What to Watch Fore(cast) this week. I’ll keep things updated regarding interesting weather in the region. That being said, there is an interesting storm still in the works for this weekend, which could be a heavy rain producer.