What to Watch Fore(cast) – Mar 28 – Apr 4

Highlights:

A mess of storms in the East – Forecasters and weather models alike are trying to wrap their collective heads around a series of systems which could bring a variety of precipitation patterns to the eastern U.S. by the end of the week.

The cold pattern tries to end – The cold will ease off going into early next week as above normal temperatures take its place across the South and the Southeast.

Very warm in the west – Much above normal temperatures will sit over the western U.S. during the second half of the week before belows return over the weekend.

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Discussion:

The NAM appears to be in another world when compared to the GFS and ECMWF models going through mid-week. The models offer three rather different solutions in how to handle a series of three low pressure systems that will impact the eastern U.S. in quick succession Tuesday through Saturday. Right now it looks to be mostly rain, with the potential for a small area to see relatively big snowfall accumulation on the order of 6-12 inches. Whether or not any of that will verify will have to be determined in the coming days.

After this string of systems moves out of the East, a massive surge of warm air will form over the West during the second half of the work week. This ridge of warm air will translate into the East at the beginning of next week, which will hopefully start a prolonged period of near normal to above normal temperatures from the Southern Plains through the Southeast, southern Midwest and southern Mid-Atlantic. The northern U.S. may miss out on the prolonged warmth and head back into normal to below normal conditions after the upper-level ridge subsides a bit.

More on the regional impacts of these chilly storms in the East as the pattern becomes clearer.


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