Mid-Atlantic Discussion – Aug 14, 2011

Clouds and weak LL winds will hurt severe chances today, but okay lapse rates, decent UL support and dewpoints in the lower 70s should help make things a little interesting this afternoon. Secondary low development in NC/S VA certainly won’t help our poor LL wind situation as the SFC winds weaken and become more variable.

RUC shows a much better setup for severe weather in the DC/MD region (which would warrant the slight risk), but it has been overzealous with the wind field and dewpoints in recent events.

SPC was rather bullish this morning… we’ll see what their thoughts are in future updates, as they have been too bullish with the last two systems that have passed through the region.

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