Archive for September, 2011

SNOW possible in the higher elevations this weekend

A shot of cool air is expected this weekend up and down the eastern U.S., with lows in the 30s possible in the higher elevations and maybe even northern MD. DC looks like it will stay in the low to mid 40s at its coldest point on Sunday morning (and possibly Monday morning). The 12z […]

Widespread rain event over the next 5-7 days… some severe

An upper-level low is forecast to move into the Midwest tomorrow before cutting off from the main flow, which will allow it to linger over the Midwest and Tennessee Valley regions through around Monday or Tuesday before it lifts out of the eastern U.S. This has a couple of different implications for the region… The […]

Summer 2011 forecast verification

Overall I’d give my summer 2011 forecast a B+, a grade worthy of a forecast that used one of the hottest summers on record as its main analog to forecast what ended up being yet another record-setting summer of heat. On a month-to-month scale, I’d give June an A-, July a C and August a […]

TS Maria & Nate named today; seem to be minimal threat to US

While it is still too early to know where Tropical Storm Maria and Tropical Storm Nate will be heading for sure, initial forecasts keep both systems away from U.S. soil. Both became named storms today (Maria at 11am EDT, Nate at 5pm EDT), and both will be fairly interesting to track in the coming days. […]

Lee remnants bring flood problems to the East

The remnants of Tropical Storm Lee combined with a stalled frontal boundary will bring widespread rainfall to the eastern U.S., particularly along the Appalachians. 1-2+ inches of rain is expected from northern Alabama and northern Georgia up through the Northeast over the next few days, with a narrower swath of 2-4 and localized areas of […]