Archive for January, 2012

February 2012 temperature forecast – Final

Despite some of the teleconnections starting to lean towards a cooler eastern third of the country, the warm signals that remain are still more than enough to combat the cold to win out the month. Unlike January and February, the teleconnections are actually looking somewhat promising for a cold pattern in the eastern U.S. for […]

Meteorology 101 – Sounding basics

I drew up a basic primer on how to read a Skew-T sounding. Click here or on the image to expand the image. There is so much that you can use a sounding for, and all of that information can be derived from the three basic plots: Temperature, dewpoint and wind. A great amount of […]

Third cold front in three days brings a chance for snow

Granted, it won’t be a lot of snow… mostly just a quick shower for the MD/DC region along a cold front that will push through the region tonight. To the north and west, the snow is expected to be a bit more robust as a quick thump of snow along a squall line of sorts […]

A dry cold front is pushing through the region

Winds are starting to gust again today as another cold front makes its way through the region. A lack of moisture out ahead of the front means nothing but an isolated shower or two is possible along the front as is slides eastward.   Despite being a cold front, it won’t do much to bring […]

Severe weather possible in the Mid-Atlantic tonight/tomorrow

The synoptic setup is somewhat favorable for damaging winds and perhaps an isolated tornado or two tonight into early tomorrow in the southern Mid-Atlantic as storms ahead of a cold front push through the region. Poor lapse rates will likely prevent severe weather from occurring in DC, Baltimore and points north and west. The storm […]

Severe weather outbreak likely in the Southeast/Midwest

The SPC has released their first Moderate Risk for severe weather of the season for today: The biggest risk will be for damaging winds along a squall line that is expected to form during the late evening to early morning hours just west and along the Mississippi River from southern Illinois southward into central Mississippi. […]

Radar watching – Bay- and ocean-enhanced snow

Some parts of the Mid-Atlantic have received and are still getting anything from light flurries up to a half inch of snow from bay-enhanced and ocean-enhanced snow this morning:   Steep lapse rates right near the surface and a veering wind profile are allowing the low-level clouds to suck up moisture from the Atlantic Ocean […]