Archive for August 7th, 2012
Winter 2012-2013 (DJF) Forecast – First Look
The monthly breakdown: Winter 2012-2013: METHODOLOGY: Looked at the possible/likely ENSO forecast (around +0.9 for DJF holding steady or fading slightly) and matched years within +/- 0.3 of this. Analogs that had negative ENSO anomalies the previous winter and near neutral ENSO during the summer were favored. I then took the previous summers’ temperature anomalies [...]
