Meteorological spring is here, but winter isn’t done with us yet. Most of the region will actually start off as rain, but a very strong cold air mass will push southward, bringing the low-level air below freezing and changing areas over to freezing rain and sleet before finally transitioning to snow. The models are handling the speed of this cold air push differently, so there is still a fair amount of wiggle room with the snow totals.
There is still room for this to move north or south by a decent margin. I’ll have a final update after the 18z models come in.