Browse Month

November 2016

SPC issues a moderate risk for tornadoes

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2016/day1otlk_20161129_2000.html

Summary:

After yesterday’s mostly-failed setup in which tornadoes were more scarce than expected in the Deep South, much higher instability today will likely result in stronger discrete storms that can mature enough to become tornadic. The SPC is targeting the 00z-04z time frame as the most dangerous as the low-level jet picks up, meaning nighttime tornadoes will be a big concern.

Opinion:

The Deep South is no stranger to these after-dark tornado setups, and I agree with the SPC’s forecast. With moisture and energy available right next door in the Gulf of Mexico, all you need is a proper storm system to move through to create a tornado threat. The winds associated with this system are fairly strong, and now the CAPE/shear combo is balanced enough where supercells can more reliably become organized enough to produce tornadoes. There are already multiple classic-looking supercells in Louisiana that are tornado-warned, and it looks like the southern Mississippi Valley will be in for a long night.

Reviving the blog

I figured out a way to make weather-related blog posts that aren’t just snowfall forecasts that is both unique and something that I can be passionate about and maintain without feeling like I’m dragging myself in to do it.

The idea: find interesting weather articles/news, provide a summary, and put my own opinion with it. It’s mostly just an extension of what I do on Twitter, but it will be more fleshed out while also providing a tl;dr version of what is going on. This will be limited to things that I am interested in, and will likely focus 100% on weather, without diving into things that are indirectly weather-related or other earth sciences.

That’s the plan, anyway. And I’ll start today.