A nail-biter between warming low-to-mid level air and marginal temperatures/wet bulbs at the surface. At least the Sun won’t be fighting most people during most of this event from D.C. northeastward.
Biggest uncertainty lies with snowfall rates, especially in areas that have marginal wet bulb temperatures at or above freezing (i.e. anywhere south of the Frederick, MD to Philadelphia line, generally speaking). That wet bulb freezing line has also been creeping further north than what I had anticipated when looking at the setup over the past few days. We’ll see it the wet bulb temperature or the snow/sleet rates win.