forecast

Winter Storm Threat: January 25-27 (Only/Final Call)

Not going to go into details because I have spent way too much time looking at this storm between work and home. Also, I’m prepping for a snow chase in New Jersey, so that has taken up much of my afternoon. A bit more conservative than the Euro and NWS overall. The lack of support […]

Winter Storm Threat: January 23-24 (Final Call)

Not much change from the initial forecast, save for higher totals across Pennsylvania and slight adjustments to the southern edges of the 1-2″ and 2-4″ contours. The front-end thump will bring most of the snow into the region, with the mountains getting some additional accumulation along the back edge. I don’t anticipate much, if any, […]

Winter Storm Threat: January 23-24 (Initial Call)

Lots of things to keep tabs on as this next system moves up through the region tomorrow night into Saturday. Temperatures from the surface all the way up to around 750-800 mb will be cutting it close, but the strengthening low and good rates on the front end of the system will help things along. […]

Winter Storm Threat: January 21 (Only/Final Call)

More clipper fun for the Mid-Atlantic, only surface temperatures won’t be so wonderfully cold this time around. Marginal temperatures at the surface and around 900-925 mb as far north as I-70 (maybe even further north?) along with mostly light precipitation hurting snow chances. Most or all of the snow will also fall during daylight hours. […]

Winter Storm Threat: November 26 (Final Call)

Well, the model trends over the last 24 hours were not in the direction I though they were going to go, so I had to cut back the forecast along I-95 and make some smaller adjustments on the western edges of the contours. Overall, things have shifted slightly warmer across much of northern VA, DC, […]

Winter Storm Threat: November 26 (Initial Call)

A hectic day before Thanksgiving is in store for many in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Toughest challenges are 1) finding that crucial rain/snow line, and 2) honing in on QPF totals, especially when considering the deformation band that’s expected. It will be a heavy, wet snow that will at least initially struggle to accumulate on […]

New Page: NWS Snow Maps

For years, the NWS snow forecast maps have been sometimes hard to find and inconsistent from WFO to WFO. I decided that it’s time for one web site that has links to ALL of the NWS snow forecast maps across the CONUS. I also displayed many of the Mid-Atlantic maps directly on the page for […]