The wintry mix of snow, sleet, and rain appears to be creeping closer to I-95 on the models, so I tightened up the gradient a bit to reflect lower totals from D.C. to Baltimore. The same is true for Long Island, and could be true for eastern New Jersey and New York City as well.
On the flip side, higher QPF across most of Pennsylvania into northern New Jersey and eastern Upstate New York increased the snow total forecast for these areas. Some small increases also occurred along the Appalachians.
Highest risk is still how far north and west the sleet/rain mixing line gets tonight, which could cut deeply into totals along I-95. Once you get far enough north and west and enter the “safe zone” where no mixing is expected, locally higher snow totals are possible.
Oh yeah, and don’t forget about those winds, especially along the coast. Gonna be fun.