Winter Storm Threat: Dec 21-23 (final call)
No major changes to the forecast, though I did decide to go a bit more aggressive with the totals in some areas. The most notable changes were in northern PA and southwestern NY, with an 8-12 inch contour added as lake-effect off of Lake Erie helps drive up totals. The back edge of the main [...]
Winter Storm Threat: Dec 21-23 (initial call)
Most if not all of the snow with this disturbance will accumulate well behind the cold front, with lake-effect snow bringing some respectable totals to western PA and WV. Most of the snow will fall Friday morning through Saturday afternoon. Low-level temperatures will limit accumulations across central and eastern PA. South and east of the [...]
Winter Storm Threat: Apr 22-24 (only/final call)
This storm is going to be mostly an Appalachian event, with heavy, wet snow creating problems with falling branches and trees and power outages in the areas forecast to get 2-4 inches of snow or more. The bulk of the snow will fall on Monday as the coastal low deepens and works into eastern [...]
Late season snow storm in the Appalachians
A strong coastal storm will develop tomorrow into Monday, and this low will actually retrograde inland, eventually making its way into central NY. This late season storm is expected to bring 6-12 inches or more to the higher elevations of the central Appalachians, with lower totals in the lower elevations as the snow battles against [...]
Mid-Atlantic Discussion – Feb 24, 2012
I can’t believe I haven’t done one of these since August… been too long. The first real chance for severe weather in the Mid-Atlantic this year has arrived! Tomorrow’s looking increasingly promising for at least some severe wind threat in addition to an isolated tornado or two and maybe some hail. Strong post-frontal winds and [...]
Severe weather outbreak likely in the Southeast/Midwest
The SPC has released their first Moderate Risk for severe weather of the season for today: The biggest risk will be for damaging winds along a squall line that is expected to form during the late evening to early morning hours just west and along the Mississippi River from southern Illinois southward into central Mississippi. [...]
Widespread rain event over the next 5-7 days… some severe
An upper-level low is forecast to move into the Midwest tomorrow before cutting off from the main flow, which will allow it to linger over the Midwest and Tennessee Valley regions through around Monday or Tuesday before it lifts out of the eastern U.S. This has a couple of different implications for the region… The [...]
