Winter Storm Threat: Mar 2-3 (Final Call)

UPDATE March 2nd, 2pm EST: After seeing the latest model forecasts and trends, I would probably shift the 4-8″ and 8-12″+ contours south by about 15-20 miles. — Shifting everything a bit south from the initial forecast and added locally 12″+ wording for the mountains. Accumulations are for snow and sleet, though it will be […]

Winter Storm Threat: Mar 2-3 (Initial Call)

Meteorological spring is here, but winter isn’t done with us yet. Most of the region will actually start off as rain, but a very strong cold air mass will push southward, bringing the low-level air below freezing and changing areas over to freezing rain and sleet before finally transitioning to snow. The models are handling […]

Winter Storm Threat: Jan 2-3 (Only/Final Call)

Seeing as light snow is already falling across the northern extent of my forecast map, this will be the only forecast issuance for tomorrow’s storm. Back from vacation and ready to welcome 2014 with some fresh snow! Low-level temperatures initially above freezing will eventually cool and allow for a changeover and/or stickage of snow around […]

April 3, 2012 Texas tornado videos

U.S. Tornadoes owner/co-author Ian and I have been compiling tornado footage from the outbreak in Texas today. We’re still adding to it, but so far we’ve found 16 videos! You can view them on the U.S. Tornadoes blog: It might take a few seconds to load due to pulling in the video previews from […]

First major lake-effect event of the season

Not going to put a map out on this one, but the first significant lake-effect snow storm of the season is nearly upon us. Locally, the mountains of West Virginia could see 6-12″ with localized amounts of 12-18″+ in the best-positioned areas. Similar totals can also be expected downwind of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie […]

SNOW possible in the higher elevations this weekend

A shot of cool air is expected this weekend up and down the eastern U.S., with lows in the 30s possible in the higher elevations and maybe even northern MD. DC looks like it will stay in the low to mid 40s at its coldest point on Sunday morning (and possibly Monday morning). The 12z […]

Mid-Atlantic Discussion – Aug 3, 2011

So… here we are a month after the last Mid-Atlantic write-up (the event failed, BTW) with a new threat and different variables as we look at tomorrow’s severe weather. Gonna just list the pros and cons and go from there: PROS: – Good low-level speed and directional shear. – Excellent low-level lapse rates. – Upper-level […]