Winter Storm Threat: Feb 9-10 (final call)

The precipitation shield did fill in a little bit from DC and points south on the models, but not to the degree I thought they were going to. I made some adjustments to the forecasts because of that, bringing the 1-2″ line and the 2-4″ contour over the Apps. further south. I brought the 1-2″ […]

Winter Storm Threat: Feb 9-10 (first call)

Another system with wintry precip. will move through the region late Wednesday through Thursday, and it yet another storm in an endless streak of high-difficulty forecasts. Most of the snow in this one will be isolated to the western Appalachians and to southern VA and NC, with accumulations of half and inch or less possible […]

Mid-Atlantic Discussion – November 30 – December 1

The SPC has been slowly creeping the Slight severe area northwards, as is no surprise. At this point, I think that the Slight will end up along the SE PA and through the northern parts of NJ going into Wednesday morning. SNE may also have a “See Text” threat past 14Z. Anyway… As we get […]

Severe storms roll through the region

An unexpectedly-powerful squall line moved through the region between 11pm-2am last night, causing a good number of wind reports and a possible tornado near Baltimore, MD. The few people that I have discussed the Baltimore storm with who live in the area believe it was more likely straight-line winds or a micro-burst. Trees down across […]

Mid-Atlantic Discussion – November 16

Looks like we’re in store for another high shear/low CAPE event later today and into tonight as a developing low pressure system swings its cold front through the region. Given the vast amount of pre-frontal precipitation and cloud cover, along with the timing of the storms, I will not be chasing today. My expectations will […]