Made some changes to bring things a bit further east in general. I took out the 4-8 inch contour due to uncertainties in the forecast, but I do think there will be localized 4-8″ totals in eastern PA and western NJ. Confidence in the forecast is normal to slightly below normal.
Here we go with another early start to winter… but early start for who, exactly? Well, the mountains already got a shock to the system last week as Sandy dumped as much as three feet or more of snow across West Virginia. This time around, it looks like the coastal areas will cash in more [...]
This storm is going to be mostly an Appalachian event, with heavy, wet snow creating problems with falling branches and trees and power outages in the areas forecast to get 2-4 inches of snow or more. The bulk of the snow will fall on Monday as the coastal low deepens and works into eastern [...]
A strong coastal storm will develop tomorrow into Monday, and this low will actually retrograde inland, eventually making its way into central NY. This late season storm is expected to bring 6-12 inches or more to the higher elevations of the central Appalachians, with lower totals in the lower elevations as the snow battles against [...]
A lot of locales in the Northeast are experiencing their first sub-zero lows of the winter, with temperatures as cold as -24F in Watertown, NY! (Yes, it’s -24, not -23. The software rounds the Celsius conversions oddly in some cases) A 1030mb high centered over southeastern Ontario is allowing for light to calm winds [...]
Not going to put a map out on this one, but the first significant lake-effect snow storm of the season is nearly upon us. Locally, the mountains of West Virginia could see 6-12″ with localized amounts of 12-18″+ in the best-positioned areas. Similar totals can also be expected downwind of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie [...]
The Buffalo, NY area has been getting slammed by lake-effect snow over the past two days, with totals currently maxing out around 2-3 FEET. The winds out of the southwest are maximizing the fetch over the lake and creating a narrow band of intense snowfall. Here is a radar grab from Thursday afternoon: The bulls-eye [...]